Browsing by Author "Reis, Ricardo"

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    Independence, credibility, and communication of central banking
    (Banco Central de Chile, 2021-10) Pastén, Ernesto; Reis, Ricardo
    The three topics covered in the title of this volume have proved to be critical in the remarkable success of modern central banks around the globe in the fight to control inflation and smooth macroeconomic fluctuations. Despite these achievements, some old challenges have come back in recent years and new ones have appeared to make Independence, Credibility, and Communication of Central Banking as critical as ever—perhaps, even more so. This volume collects articles contributed by distinguished scholars to the XXIII Annual Conference of the Central Bank of Chile, which coincided with the thirtieth anniversary of its independence. The chapters in this volume give a fresh new look to old lessons, discuss the latest developments, and provide new recommendations for central banks to meet some of their biggest challenges of the times.
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    Independence, credibility, and communication of central banking: an overview
    (Banco Central de Chile, 2021-10) Pastén, Ernesto; Reis, Ricardo
    The institution of central-bank independence is often lauded as a great conquest of the accumulation of knowledge and the sensible setting of policy. The economic literature is filled with arguments for why an independent central bank would lead to better outcomes. To this prior, the experience of the last couple of decades has added the supporting data. Independent central bankers have been, for the most part, able to keep inflation under control despite shocks and macroeconomic volatility. Whether during the Global Financial Crisis, through individual country slumps, or at the trough of the pandemic recession, independent central banks were typically part of the solution rather than part of the problem. Attacks on the independence of a central bank nowadays typically generate a strong pushback from the press and civil society.
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    The fiscal footprint of macroprudential policy
    (Banco Central de Chile, 2021-10) Reis, Ricardo
    Monetary policies leave a fiscal footprint. When the central bank cuts the policy interest rate, this footprint comes through multiple channels: The demand for currency rises, so the central bank prints more banknotes to accommodate it, and this creates seignorage revenues. Inflation unexpectedly rises and this lowers the real value of public debt. Rolling over this debt is cheaper as the price of newly issued debt rises. And finally, economic activity rises, so tax revenues increase and social spending falls.